Friday, January 8, 2010

YTD Sales Improve 8th Consecutive Month

According to figures generated for by MRED, the regional MLS, year-end sales of Chicago condos for 2009 are:
* Down 32% in total dollar volume, to $3.1 billion
* Down 19% in units closed, to 10,070
* Down 13% in median sales price, to $270,000
* Up 12% in average market time, to 147 days.

This shows an improving market through the year, in both dollars and units, for eight consecutive months:

End of April: Dollars down 59%, units down 51%
End of May: Dollars down 57%, units down 48%
End of June: Dollars down 53%, units down 44%
End of July: Dollars down 49%, units down 39%
End of August: Dollars down 47%, units down 36%
End of September: Dollars down 44%, units down 33%
End of October: Dollars down 40%, units down 28%
End of November: Dollars down 36%, units down 23%
End of December: Dollars down 32%, units down 19%.

Comparing December sales to November:
* Units closed were down 9%, from 970 to 881 closings
* Dollar volume was down 2%, from $291 million to $286 million
* Median sales price was up 9%, from $252,500 to $275,000
* Average market time was down 11%, from 147 days to 131 days.

Asked for comment on the year-end numbers, former CAR president Dave Hanna, managing partner of SourceOne Realty, offered this assessment:

"While our overall volume in units has been improving, the volume activity is largely at the lower price points in most areas and is being driven by foreclosure sales.

"In the condominium market, the high-end cash buyer is finding highly discounted units (bargains) and the dollar volume of those sales is distorting the average and median sales prices for all condos.

"Until the Chicago market is treated fairly and has a conforming loan limit that allows move-up buyers access to reasonably priced financing, condominium financing guidelines that do not punish condominium buyers and sellers and rational lending criteria are used in creating loans, Chicago is going to continue with lackluster numbers.

"An in-depth look at the Case Shiller index, its background information and its trend lines, will show the true direction of our marketplace. It does not indicate we are anywhere near stability in housing. The market is moving toward stagnation, and the media is interpreting it as stability. When the homebuyer tax credit expires mid-year, and rates push to 6% and beyond (no later than 3rd Qtr 2010), we will see if I am right or wrong."

For details on month-over-month and year-over-year, click here. For previous market reports, click here.

1 comment:

realtor in Vancouver said...

Situation on the market in Canada is quite similar. There has been some improvement both in prices and and volume of sales in the second half of 2009. However, the prediction on this year is more optimistic. There is suggestion that this growth will continue through the first half of 2010 as the stimulus effect of low borrowing continues to drive demand to increased levels of activity. All in all, growing confidence in economic recovery this year should boost an already strengthening housing market.